Figures released by SQM Research reveal that the level of residential property listings around the nation rose substantially during the month of November, with national stock levels increasing by 6.3% and coming to a total of 369,057. Year on year, stock is still down marginally, revealing a -2.4% decrease on a national level since November 2012.
SQM Research has observed that there are certain factors which need to be taken into account in regards to this monthly rise; firstly that there were five weekends during the month of November, rather than the usual four, and secondly – the issue of seasonality.
It is our opinion where seasonality is concerned, that the “Spring Selling Season” has hit later in the year than usual, with a market uptick in sales listings – especially in Sydney which revealed a 12.8% monthly increase in stock levels during November 2013.
What must also be taken into consideration is that each capital city continues to tell its own story, rather than the national figure reflecting the state of the overall market as a whole. SQM Research stands by its forecast made back in September 2013: that Sydney would lead the way in terms of a house price recovery but that this would not necessarily be the case for all capital cities, particularly Canberra.
Indeed this house price recovery continues to be quite locality sensitive with Darwin going against the grain of all other cities (in particular Sydney), recording a 14.3% yearly rise in stock levels.
Managing Director of SQM Research, Louis Christopher says “No doubt, the disruption of the election in September created a lag effect in listings which is coming through now so it is no surprise listings had a large jump in November.